Real-Time Guidance | POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT (EP08)

Real-time Guidance for POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT (EP08)

This page provides plots and information for POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT (EP08). The left side of this page provides TCGP-generated plots of numerical guidance and other TCGP-curated data. The right side of this page provides external links to additional information and products. Most of the model guidance displayed in the plots come from modeling centers outside of NCAR, such as NOAA, other national numerical weather prediction centers, and universities. Click here for information about who contributes to TCGP. Your use of this page is governed by the UCAR Terms of Service and this site's disclaimer. To obtain help for any item on this page, click on the question mark beside that item.

Information as of the most recent model cycle ?

At 1200 UTC, 06 August 2021, POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT (EP08) was located in the Northeast Pacific basin at 22.9°N and 133.7°W. The current intensity was 25 kt and the center was moving at 11 kt at a bearing of 300 degrees. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb.

Reconnaissance Aircraft Data ?

No Vortex Data Messages were found for this system.

Probabilistic wind exceedance guidance ?

A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

*The data incorporated herein is generated from the use of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)’s Forecasts of Hurricanes Using Large-ensemble Outputs (FHLO) version 1.3, © MIT, used with permission. All Rights Reserved.

ATCF data files ?

track and intensity forecasts (a-deck)
history file (b-deck)
fixes file (f-deck)