Real-Time Guidance | SEVENTEEN (AL17)

Real-time Guidance for SEVENTEEN (AL17)

This page provides plots and information for SEVENTEEN (AL17). The left side of this page provides TCGP-generated plots of numerical guidance and other TCGP-curated data. The right side of this page provides external links to additional information and products. Most of the model guidance displayed in the plots come from modeling centers outside of NCAR, such as NOAA, other national numerical weather prediction centers, and universities. Click here for information about who contributes to TCGP. Your use of this page is governed by the UCAR Terms of Service and this site's disclaimer. To obtain help for any item on this page, click on the question mark beside that item.

Information as of the most recent model cycle ?

At 0000 UTC, 12 November 2022, SEVENTEEN (AL17) was located in the North Atlantic basin at 38.8°N and 80.9°W. The current intensity was -999 kt and the center was moving at -999 kt at a bearing of -999 degrees. The minimum central pressure was -999 mb.

Reconnaissance Aircraft Data ?

No Vortex Data Messages were found for this system.

Probabilistic wind exceedance guidance ?

A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.
A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

*The data incorporated herein is generated from the use of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)’s Forecasts of Hurricanes Using Large-ensemble Outputs (FHLO) version 1.50, © MIT, used with permission. All Rights Reserved.

ATCF data files ?

track and intensity forecasts (a-deck)
history file (b-deck)
fixes file (f-deck)

Environmental Diagnostics ?

Links to Radars Within 350 km of SEVENTEEN

WV RUTHDALE/CHARLES   Loop

PA PITT/CORAOPOLIS   Loop

VA ROANOKE/FLOYD CY   Loop

KY NOCTOR/JACKSON   Loop

OH WILMINGTON   Loop

VA STERLING   Loop

OH CLEVELAND   Loop

PA RUSH/ST COLLEGE   Loop