Real-Time Guidance | DISTURBANCE BEATRIZ (EP02)

Real-time Guidance for DISTURBANCE BEATRIZ (EP02)

This page provides plots and information for DISTURBANCE BEATRIZ (EP02). The left side of this page provides TCGP-generated plots of numerical guidance and other TCGP-curated data. The right side of this page provides external links to additional information and products. Most of the model guidance displayed in the plots come from modeling centers outside of NCAR, such as NOAA, other national numerical weather prediction centers, and universities. Click here for information about who contributes to TCGP. Your use of this page is governed by the UCAR Terms of Service and this site's disclaimer. To obtain help for any item on this page, click on the question mark beside that item.

Information as of the most recent model cycle ?

At 0000 UTC, 22 June 2011, DISTURBANCE BEATRIZ (EP02) was located in the Northeast Pacific basin at 19.0°N and 106.6°W. The current intensity was 25 kt and the center was moving at 6 kt at a bearing of 270 degrees. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb.

Reconnaissance Aircraft Data ?

Vortex Data Messages ?
Archive

Plots of track guidance ?

Early cycle track guidance ?
Archive
Late cycle track guidance ?
Archive
GFS ensemble track guidance ?
Archive
A plot of experimental late cycle track guidance has not yet been generated for this system.

Plots from Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS) ?

A plot of the Late EPS track guidance plotted by model has not yet been generated for this system.
A plot of the extra late EPS track guidance plotted by model has not yet been generated for this system.

Boxplot Visualizations for EPS Track ?

A late cycle curve boxplot of GEFS track guidance has not yet been generated for this system.

Plots of intensity guidance ?

Early cycle intensity guidance ?
Archive
A plot of experimental late cycle intensity guidance has not yet been generated for this system.

ATCF data files ?

aep022011.dat ?
track and intensity forecasts (a-deck)
bep022011.dat ?
history file (b-deck)
fep022011.dat ?
fixes file (f-deck)

Links to External Satellite-based Products

NESDIS SAB Satellite Imagery for BEATRIZ

Visible Imagery Loop   html5   flash
Enhanced Infrared Loop   html5   flash
Water Vapor Loop   html5   flash

CIRA TC Real-time Page for BEATRIZ

Enhanced Infrared Imagery Loop (4 km Mercator)
Storm Relative Visible Imagery Loop (1 km Geostationary)
AMSU Microwave 89GHz Imagery (4 km Mercator)
Multiplatform Satellite Surface Winds Analysis (Operational)
Multiplatform Satellite Surface Winds Analysis (Development)

UW-CIMSS TC Satellite Products for BEATRIZ

Satellite Consensus Intensity Estimates   More info ?
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) ?
ARCHER Center-finding Technique ?
ARCHER Eyewall Replacement Cycle Diagnostic and Prediction ?
Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery at CIMSS (MIMIC-TC) ?