Real-Time Guidance | POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE (EP09)

Real-time Guidance for POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE (EP09)

This page provides plots and information for POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE (EP09). The left side of this page provides TCGP-generated plots of numerical guidance and other TCGP-curated data. The right side of this page provides external links to additional information and products. Most of the model guidance displayed in the plots come from modeling centers outside of NCAR, such as NOAA, other national numerical weather prediction centers, and universities. Click here for information about who contributes to TCGP. Your use of this page is governed by the UCAR Terms of Service and this site's disclaimer. To obtain help for any item on this page, click on the question mark beside that item.

Information as of the most recent model cycle ?

At 0000 UTC, 08 August 2021, POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE (EP09) was located in the North Central Pacific basin at 19.3°N and 142.9°W. The current intensity was 20 kt and the center was moving at 7 kt at a bearing of 305 degrees. The minimum central pressure was 1013 mb.

Reconnaissance Aircraft Data ?

No Vortex Data Messages were found for this system.

Track guidance ?

Late cycle track guidance ?
Archive

Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS) guidance ?

Late EPS track guidance plotted by model ?
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Extra late EPS track guidance plotted by model ?
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Intensity guidance ?

Early cycle intensity guidance ?
Archive

Probabilistic wind exceedance guidance ?

34-kt FHLO-ECMWF* ?
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50-kt FHLO-ECMWF* ?
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64-kt FHLO-ECMWF* ?
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83-kt FHLO-ECMWF* ?
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A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
34-kt FHLO-GEFS* ?
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50-kt FHLO-GEFS* ?
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64-kt FHLO-GEFS* ?
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83-kt FHLO-GEFS* ?
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A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

*The data incorporated herein is generated from the use of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)’s Forecasts of Hurricanes Using Large-ensemble Outputs (FHLO) version 1.3, © MIT, used with permission. All Rights Reserved.

ATCF data files ?

aep092021.dat ?
track and intensity forecasts (a-deck)
bep092021.dat ?
history file (b-deck)
fep092021.dat ?
fixes file (f-deck)

Links to Official Warning Information

RSMC Honolulu - Central Pacific Hurricane Center

Environmental Diagnostics ?

SHIPS diagnostic message ?
Archive

Links to External Satellite-based Products

CIRA TC Real-time Page for JIMENA

Enhanced Infrared Imagery Loop (4 km Mercator)
Storm Relative Visible Imagery Loop (1 km Geostationary)
AMSU Microwave 89GHz Imagery (4 km Mercator)
Multiplatform Satellite Surface Wind Analysis (Operational)
Multiplatform Satellite Surface Wind Analysis (Experimental)
Aircraft-based Surface Wind Analysis

UW-CIMSS TC Satellite Products for JIMENA

Satellite Consensus Intensity Estimates   More info ?
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) ?
ARCHER Center-finding Technique ?
Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery at CIMSS (MIMIC-TC) ?

Observations near JIMENA

   NDBC Ship and Buoy Obs within 300 km

   Mesonet Observations from NWS WRH Hazard Viewer